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Eleven Three Twenty: 6 Reasons Why 2020 Won’t Be Like 2016…Probably

David D. Knapp, Ph.D.
9 min readOct 30, 2020

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October 30, 2020

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There are few things diehard Joe Biden supporters and diehard Donald Trump supporters have in common. But one of them is the belief that no matter what the current polls say, the 2020 election result is going to be as shocking as 2016.

For Biden supporters, this belief has created a near pathological level of paranoia that President Trump will once again pull a rabbit out of his MAGA hat on Tuesday and somehow win a second term. For Trump supporters, this belief has created a sense of assuredness bordering on cockiness that they and their fellow MAGA supporters will show up by the millions on Tuesday to re-elect their red-hatted Commander in Chief for four more years — regardless of what pre-election polls say.

So, are both sets of voters right? Will President Trump somehow confound the pundits and pollsters on Election Night once again? In a word…well, two words: probably not.

Look, no one — and I mean NO ONE — knows for sure how the election is going to play out. (Hence the “probably” qualifier…) But I do believe there are 6 significant reasons why a miraculous come-from-behind victory is going to elude Donald Trump this time around.

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David D. Knapp, Ph.D.
David D. Knapp, Ph.D.

Written by David D. Knapp, Ph.D.

President of Marathon Leadership, LLC — an organizational and leadership consulting firm based in Thornton, CO. Learn more at http://marathonleadership.com/

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